ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TAL // TAL Education Group

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001499620 ↗
Real Estate • Other Consumer Services
$9.87 ▼ -0.27 (-2.66%)
MKT CAP: $5.62B • VOL: 7.42M
TAL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +77.6% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC +3.5% • Z 4.29
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +9% • P/E 8.9x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did TAL's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TAL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.37%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $10.06H $10.14L $9.87C $9.87VOL 9.87M
RES: $13.28SUP: $9.64SMA50: $11.67SMA200: $11.08
$13.40$12.17$10.95$9.72$8.50RES $13.28SUP $9.64$9.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TAL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 64/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

TAL Education Group (TAL) exhibits 55.4% gross margins and 12.4% return on invested capital within Real Estate (Other Consumer Services), balanced against a 16.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 55.4% gross profitability converts into 9.2% operating margin and 12.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 12.4% // GM: 55.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +33.7% paired with 9.04% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +33.7% // FCF YLD: 9.04%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.29 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.29 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 10.6x trailing P/E (8.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 10.6x // EV/EBITDA: 16.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.87 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Consumer Services require continuous execution to defend 17.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 17.6% // D/E: 0.39x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 8.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.09).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 10.6x
FORWARD P/E 8.9x
EV / EBITDA 16.5x
FCF YIELD 9.04%
GROSS MARGIN 55.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.2%
NET MARGIN 17.6%
ROIC % 12.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +33.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.96
DEBT / EQUITY 0.39x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.40%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 31.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.09
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TALPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.03
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TAL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>