ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

RLI // RLI Corp.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000084246 ↗
Financials • Property-Casualty Insurers
$65.23 ▲ +0.61 (+0.94%)
MKT CAP: $5.98B • VOL: 950.0K
RLI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 80/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
80 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +9.6% vs NI +16.6% • ROIC-WACC +4.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 90% • VS 200D +11.2% • RSI 65
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.12 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.05
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
SIGNAL

Why did RLI's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever RLI is Upgraded or Downgraded.

RLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.58%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $64.62H $65.23L $64.62C $65.23VOL 950.0K
RES: $67.33SUP: $53.26SMA50: $60.61SMA200: $58.67
$68.68$62.88$57.07$51.26$45.46RES $67.33SUP $53.26$65.232026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
RLI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

RLI Corp. (RLI) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 13.5% return on invested capital within Financials (Property-Casualty Insurers), balanced against a 14.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 26.1% operating margin and 13.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +6.3% paired with 10.27% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +6.3% // FCF YLD: 10.27%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 14.7x trailing P/E (13.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 14.7x // EV/EBITDA: 14.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $65.23 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Property-Casualty Insurers require continuous execution to defend 21.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 21.4% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 13.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.13).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 14.7x
FORWARD P/E 13.7x
EV / EBITDA 14.2x
FCF YIELD 10.27%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 26.1%
NET MARGIN 21.4%
ROIC % 13.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +6.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.40
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.08%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 65.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.13
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RLIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $59.69
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for RLI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>