ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

LW // Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001679273 ↗
Consumer Staples • Packaged Foods
$54.08 ▲ +0.79 (+1.48%)
MKT CAP: $7.34B • VOL: 1.68M
LW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 77/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
77 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 62% • VS 200D +14.1% • RSI 58
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +7.4% • P/E 23.5x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.18 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.08
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
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SIGNAL

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LW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.13%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $53.49H $54.08L $53.29C $54.08VOL 1.39M
RES: $55.41SUP: $40.73SMA50: $49.87SMA200: $46.69
$56.79$52.28$47.77$43.27$38.76RES $55.41SUP $40.73$54.082026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
LW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) exhibits 20.6% gross margins and 14.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Packaged Foods), balanced against a 9.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 20.6% gross profitability converts into 8.9% operating margin and 14.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.8% // GM: 20.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.5% paired with 7.36% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.5% // FCF YLD: 7.36%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.07 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.07 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 25.3x trailing P/E (23.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 25.3x // EV/EBITDA: 9.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $54.08 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Packaged Foods require continuous execution to defend 4.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.4% // D/E: 0.84x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 23.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.01).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 25.3x
FORWARD P/E 23.5x
EV / EBITDA 9.4x
FCF YIELD 7.36%
GROSS MARGIN 20.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.9%
NET MARGIN 4.4%
ROIC % 14.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.10
DEBT / EQUITY 0.84x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.83%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 58.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.01
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // LWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $49.49
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for LW & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>