Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$54.08 +1.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.35

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (21% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $7.34B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $54.08 (+1.48% 1D, market cap $7.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, LW ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LW compare to CAG and CPB in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), LW carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.3x, gross margin of 20.6%, and ROIC of 14.8%. By comparison, CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.73B) and CPB (The Campbell's Company) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LW?
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Per LW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001679273), Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. generated $6.61B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $290.0M in net income, and $540.2M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $1.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.36 (+0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 8.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510077
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (15)SEC (14)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.5% Base Target
$69 Bull$59 Base$44 Bear
📬 FREE LW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LW SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.2% FCF Margin ($540.2M FCF) & 20.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 6 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$51.96+3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$53.78+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
74
Grade B+$53.78+0.6% Next Q
Current
77
Grade B+$54.08+7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → B+ (77)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, LW faces multiple-compression risk if 25.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.87) or 200D SMA ($46.69) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($58.70) toward Bear Floor ($44.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
5830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.07>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE65% OF RANGE
L: $38$54.08H: $63
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (21% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on LW

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

14.8% ROIC with 20.6% gross margin and 7.36% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.07 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (77)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LW
  • ✓Strong cash generator (21% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.13%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $53.49H $54.08L $53.29C $54.08VOL 1.39M
RES: $55.41SUP: $40.73SMA50: $49.87SMA200: $46.69
$56.79$52.28$47.77$43.27$38.76RES $55.41SUP $40.73$54.082026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LW)

Consumer Staples Rank #4 of 146 ⚔️ CAG vs LW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (LW vs. CAG, CPB, DAR, INGR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) ranks #4 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #33 by equity capitalization ($7.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LW ACTIVE
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.
B+ 77/100 25.3x 20.6% 14.8% +1.48% $7.34B Benchmark Subject
CAG
ConAgra Brands Inc.
D 48/100 — 23.9% -10.0% +3.41% $6.73B /cag-vs-lw →
CPB
The Campbell's Company
C 62/100 10.4x 30.4% 10.8% +2.00% $6.26B /cpb-vs-lw →
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc.
D+ 55/100 138.6x 24.0% 3.1% +1.05% $8.70B /dar-vs-lw →
INGR
Ingredion Incorporated
C 63/100 8.3x 25.3% 16.1% +1.44% $6.03B /ingr-vs-lw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0001679273

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) reported GAAP revenue of $6.61B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.45B , and +2.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $290.0M, operating cash flow of $942.9M, and free cash flow of $540.2M (+134.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LW closed FY2025 with $7.33B in total assets against $1.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.07, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $6.61B $290.0M $942.9M $540.2M $7.33B $1.72B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-25 $6.45B $357.0M $868.3M $230.1M $7.45B $1.74B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-26 $6.47B $726.0M $798.2M $507.2M $7.76B $1.82B

3. LW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $54.08 (+1.48% 1D, market cap $7.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, LW ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LW compare to CAG and CPB in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), LW carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.3x, gross margin of 20.6%, and ROIC of 14.8%. By comparison, CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.73B) and CPB (The Campbell's Company) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LW?

Per LW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001679273), Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. generated $6.61B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $290.0M in net income, and $540.2M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $1.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LW last traded at $54.08 (+1.48% on volume of 1,678,455 shares), positioning the stock +8.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.87) and +15.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.69). Across its 52-week range of $37.62 to $63.07, LW sits at the 64.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($50.67 to $57.49).

LW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LW stock right now?

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (21% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is LW's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LW's 12-month base price target is $58.7 (range $44.35 to $69.27), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 77/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LW — Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:17Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LW scores 77 out of 100, graded B+ and labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20 (ROIC 14.8%; FCF yield 7.36%), Whale 13F Flow 15/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 15/20 (Beta 1.01; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 3.07; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.84). The strongest pillar is the cash engine, which the rating attributes to a 14.8% ROIC and a 7.36% FCF yield. The weakest pillar is the balance sheet, which still sits in a reasonable range but carries the lowest relative score. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on cash generation and insider/institutional support; the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 25.3 and a forward P/E of 23.5, which leaves less margin for error if earnings disappoint. The beta of 1.01 suggests market-like sensitivity to broad moves. This is an analytical summary of the rating's components, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$53.29$7.34B25.323.59.42.12.83%1.01$37.62 - $63.0714.8%

Business

Sector: Consumer Staples. Industry: Packaged Foods. Exchange: NYSE. The source data describes Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. as a NYSE-listed Consumer Staples issuer operating in Packaged Foods with a market capitalization of $7.3B. Not available in source data: the specific products sold, customer base, and revenue model descriptions.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2026-05-31)$6612.3M$591.1M$290.0MN/A$540.2M$82.7M$1715.5M
FY 2024 (filed 2025-05-25)$6451.3M$665.1M$357.0MN/A$230.1M$79.0M$1743.8M
FY 2023 (filed 2024-05-26)$6467.6M$1065.3M$726.0MN/A$507.2MN/A$1816.1M

Across the three reported periods, revenue rose from $6467.6M to $6612.3M while operating income fell from $1065.3M to $591.1M and net income fell from $726.0M to $290.0M. Reported margins for the current snapshot are a 20.6% gross margin, 8.9% operating margin, and 4.4% net margin, with ROIC of 14.8%. Free cash flow improved to $540.2M in FY 2025 from $230.1M in FY 2024, and debt declined from $1816.1M to $1715.5M over the period. The Altman Z-Score is 3.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products and customer concentration behind the $6612.3M FY 2025 revenue?
  • What drove the decline in operating income from $1065.3M (FY 2023) to $591.1M (FY 2025) despite stable revenue?
  • What is the EPS history, since reported EPS is N/A for all three periods?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders underpin the 15/20 whale flow and 16/20 insider pillar scores?
  • What are the forward earnings and analyst price targets behind the 23.5 forward P/E?

LW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $54.08?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $62.88 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LW (B+ • RQD 77/100) a Buy at $53.29?

Welcome to the LW (Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 77/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Packaged Foods. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.57 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $53.29

Pump the brakes on LW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LW, but look at what you are paying: 25.3x trailing P/E with 20.6% gross margins. Unless Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $63.95 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $53.29

LW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Packaged Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $53.29 (52-wk range $37.62 - $63.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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