ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BPOP // Popular Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000763901 ↗
Financials • Major Banks
$156.61 ▼ -1.88 (-1.19%)
MKT CAP: $9.99B • VOL: 386.7K
BPOP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B- (RQD 70) -> C+ (RQD 67)
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 -3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +47.6% vs NI +35.6% • ROIC-WACC -5.5% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.7% • P/E 11.3x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.08 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.44
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did BPOP's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever BPOP is Upgraded or Downgraded.

BPOP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.79%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $158.5H $158.5L $156.6C $156.6VOL 386.7K
RES: $184.8SUP: $147.9SMA50: $161.1SMA200: $153.9
$182.9$167.7$152.6$137.4$122.2RES $184.8SUP $147.9$156.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
BPOP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Popular Inc. (BPOP) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 3.1% return on invested capital within Financials (Major Banks), balanced against a 25.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 35.9% operating margin and 3.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.1% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -4.4% paired with 6.74% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -4.4% // FCF YLD: 6.74%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 12.1x trailing P/E (11.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 12.1x // EV/EBITDA: 25.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $156.61 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Banks require continuous execution to defend 29.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 29.4% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 11.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.97).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 12.1x
FORWARD P/E 11.3x
EV / EBITDA 25.4x
FCF YIELD 6.74%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 35.9%
NET MARGIN 29.4%
ROIC % 3.1%
REV GROWTH YOY -4.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $13.06
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.95%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.97
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BPOPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $143.30
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for BPOP & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>