Popular Inc. (BPOP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$156.61 -1.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $155.98

Popular Inc. (BPOP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.99B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BPOP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Popular Inc. (NASDAQ: BPOP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $156.61 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $9.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BPOP ranks #164 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BPOP compare to CFR and SSB in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BPOP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, CFR (Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.1x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $9.80B) and SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 12.9x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $10.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BPOP leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while CFR leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BPOP?
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Per BPOP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000763901), Popular Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $833.2M in net income, and $681.0M in free cash flow against $75.35B in total assets and $31.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $155.98 (-0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 17% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$192 Bull$163 Base$127 Bear
📬 FREE BPOP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BPOP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BPOP SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$155.95+4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$162.25-2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$157.88-0.8% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$156.61+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BPOP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, BPOP faces multiple-compression risk if 12.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($161.07) or 200D SMA ($153.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($162.95) toward Bear Floor ($127.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BPOP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BPOP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE68% OF RANGE
L: $109$156.61H: $179
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BPOP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

3.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.74% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BPOP
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BPOP Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BPOP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.79%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $158.5H $158.5L $156.6C $156.6VOL 386.7K
RES: $184.8SUP: $147.9SMA50: $161.1SMA200: $153.9
$182.9$167.7$152.6$137.4$122.2RES $184.8SUP $147.9$156.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BPOP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BPOP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BPOP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BPOP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BPOP)

Financials Rank #164 of 1096 ⚔️ CFR vs BPOP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BPOP vs. CFR, SSB, UMBF, WTFC)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Popular Inc. (BPOP) ranks #164 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #186 by equity capitalization ($9.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BPOP leads on earnings valuation at 12.1x trailing P/E, while CFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.4% ROIC and — gross margin. WTFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with BPOP at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BPOP ACTIVE
Popular Inc.
C+ 67/100 12.1x — 3.1% -1.19% $9.99B Benchmark Subject
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc.
C- 60/100 15.1x — 3.4% -0.16% $9.80B /cfr-vs-bpop →
SSB
SouthState Bank Corporation
C- 60/100 12.9x — 3.0% -0.88% $10.20B /ssb-vs-bpop →
UMBF
UMB Financial Corporation
C+ 67/100 14.7x — 2.5% -1.24% $10.21B /umbf-vs-bpop →
WTFC
Wintrust Financial Corporation
B- 70/100 12.6x — 3.1% -1.13% $10.28B /wtfc-vs-bpop →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000763901

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Popular Inc. (BPOP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $833.2M, operating cash flow of $878.4M, and free cash flow of $681.0M (+47.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BPOP closed FY2025 with $75.35B in total assets against $31.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $833.2M $878.4M $681.0M $75.35B $31.09B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $614.2M $674.7M $461.3M $73.05B $30.34B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $541.3M $686.6M $686.6M $5.56B $1.30B

3. BPOP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BPOP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Popular Inc. (NASDAQ: BPOP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $156.61 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $9.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BPOP ranks #164 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BPOP compare to CFR and SSB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BPOP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, CFR (Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.1x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $9.80B) and SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 12.9x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $10.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BPOP leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while CFR leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BPOP?

Per BPOP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000763901), Popular Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $833.2M in net income, and $681.0M in free cash flow against $75.35B in total assets and $31.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BPOP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BPOP last traded at $156.61 (-1.19% on volume of 386,666 shares), positioning the stock -2.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($161.07) and +1.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($153.85). Across its 52-week range of $109.01 to $179.24, BPOP sits at the 67.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($150.50 to $162.72).

BPOP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BPOP stock right now?

Popular Inc. (BPOP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is BPOP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BPOP's 12-month base price target is $162.95 (range $127.1 to $192.28), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BPOP — Popular Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BPOP scores 70 out of 100, a letter grade of B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20 (ROIC 3.1%; FCF yield 6.74%), Whale 13F Flow 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 14/20 (beta 0.97; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Insider Conviction is the strongest pillar and Whale 13F Flow the weakest. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on insider and cash-flow signals, while the modest ROIC of 3.1% and the 11/20 institutional-flow score temper enthusiasm. The beta near 1.0 suggests market-like sensitivity to broad moves, and the forward P/E of 11.3 compared with a trailing P/E of 12.1 indicates the market prices in some expected earnings growth. The rating is a structured summary of the source data, not a recommendation to act.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$158.49$10.11B12.111.325.413.061.95%0.97$109.01 - $179.243.1%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$983.1M$833.2MN/A$681.0MN/A$31094.6M
FY 2024$0.0M$724.8M$614.2MN/A$461.3MN/A$30344.5M
FY 2023$0.0M$638.8M$541.3MN/A$686.6MN/A$1300.9M

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $541.3M (FY 2023) to $614.2M (FY 2024) to $833.2M (FY 2025), and operating income followed the same trend. Reported debt moved from $1300.9M in FY 2023 to $30344.5M in FY 2024 and $31094.6M in FY 2025, a change the source data does not explain. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Revenue is reported as $0.0M in every period, so revenue growth cannot be assessed from this data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings: A headline reports that Popular beat Q3 estimates but shares fell on margin, expense, and credit trends (ChartMill, GREEN, CATALYST). A separate TradingView item reports Q3 2026 earnings (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • Dividend: A Stock Titan headline reports a 20% dividend increase lifting the quarterly payout to 90 cents (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • Analyst action: The Globe and Mail reports a rating update from a top analyst (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). The rating itself is not in the source data.
  • Earnings expectations: A Yahoo Finance item discusses how earnings growth expectations may affect the stock (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • Risk watch: Margin, expense, and credit trends are cited as pressure points in the ChartMill headline.
  • Proprietary signals: None. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drives the reported jump in debt from $1300.9M (FY 2023) to $30344.5M (FY 2024), and is it reflected in the Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • Why is revenue reported as $0.0M in every period, and what is the actual top line?
  • What were the specific margin, expense, and credit trends cited in the Q3 earnings reaction?
  • What rating and price target did the analyst cited by The Globe and Mail assign?
  • Which insider and institutional transactions underlie the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillar scores?

BPOP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Popular Inc. (BPOP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BPOP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BPOP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $156.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BPOP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BPOP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $187.02 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BPOP (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $158.49?

Welcome to the BPOP (Popular Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $129.96 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $158.49

Pump the brakes on BPOP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BPOP, but look at what you are paying: 12.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Popular Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $191.77 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $158.49

BPOP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BPOP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $158.49 (52-wk range $109.01 - $179.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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