ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

WING // Wingstop Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001636222 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$149.73 ▲ +4.34 (+2.99%)
MKT CAP: $4.05B • VOL: 1.58M
WING // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 66/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
66 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -0.1% vs NI +60.3% • ROIC-WACC +37.3% • Z 2.33
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 26% • VS 200D -7.3% • RSI 71
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +2.7% • P/E 21x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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WING // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.51%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $145.4H $149.7L $145.4C $149.7VOL 1.58M
RES: $148.9SUP: $83.03SMA50: $117.0SMA200: $161.5
$263.7$218.2$172.7$127.2$81.70RES $148.9SUP $83.03$149.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
WING // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 76/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Wingstop Inc. (WING) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 45.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 22.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 25.7% operating margin and 45.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 45.0% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +11.4% paired with 2.69% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +11.4% // FCF YLD: 2.69%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.33 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.33 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 22.6x trailing P/E (21.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 22.6x // EV/EBITDA: 22.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $149.73 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend 25.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 25.0% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 21.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.01).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 22.6x
FORWARD P/E 21.0x
EV / EBITDA 22.5x
FCF YIELD 2.69%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 25.7%
NET MARGIN 25.0%
ROIC % 45.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +11.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.44
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.82%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 71.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.01
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // WINGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $137.01
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>