ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

UCTT // Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001275014 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$49.71 ▼ -4.99 (-9.12%)
MKT CAP: $2.38B • VOL: 2.07M
UCTT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 43/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
43 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +200% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -18.8% • Z 3.26
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
5 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.02 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.38
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 8 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did UCTT's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever UCTT is Upgraded or Downgraded.

UCTT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.01%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $54.70H $54.70L $49.71C $49.71VOL 2.07M
RES: $58.49SUP: $39.00SMA50: $65.34SMA200: $74.72
$151.6$121.1$90.59$60.10$29.61RES $58.49SUP $39.00$49.712026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
UCTT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 31/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) exhibits 15.7% gross margins and -9.8% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 15.7% gross profitability converts into -5.2% operating margin and -9.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -9.8% // GM: 15.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.1% paired with 0.58% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.1% // FCF YLD: 0.58%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.26 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.26 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (19.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $49.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend -8.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -8.8% // D/E: 0.66x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.36).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 19.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 0.58%
GROSS MARGIN 15.7%
OPERATING MARGIN -5.2%
NET MARGIN -8.8%
ROIC % -9.8%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-3.78
DEBT / EQUITY 0.66x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 39.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.36
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // UCTTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $45.49
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for UCTT & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>