ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TT // Trane Technologies plc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001466258 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto Parts:O.E.M.
$410.00 ▼ -21.10 (-4.89%)
MKT CAP: $94.85B • VOL: 2.21M
TT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 62/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF -19.5% vs NI +13.7% • ROIC-WACC +20.9% • Z 6.82
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 53% • VS 200D -5.3% • RSI 42
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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TT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $448.5H $448.5L $410.0C $410.0VOL 2.87M
RES: $479.1SUP: $401.0SMA50: $449.6SMA200: $455.3
$512.7$484.5$456.4$428.3$400.1RES $479.1SUP $401.0$410.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 63/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Trane Technologies plc (TT) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 29.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), balanced against a 20.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 18.6% operating margin and 29.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 29.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +7.5% paired with 2.36% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +7.5% // FCF YLD: 2.36%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.82 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.82 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 32.5x trailing P/E (30.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 32.5x // EV/EBITDA: 20.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $410.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto Parts:O.E.M. require continuous execution to defend 13.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.7% // D/E: 0.46x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 30.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.96).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 32.5x
FORWARD P/E 30.2x
EV / EBITDA 20.3x
FCF YIELD 2.36%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 18.6%
NET MARGIN 13.7%
ROIC % 29.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +7.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $13.26
DEBT / EQUITY 0.46x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.88%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 42.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.96
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $375.16
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TT & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>