ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TSEM // Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000928876 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$166.48 ▼ -21.44 (-11.41%)
MKT CAP: $21.24B • VOL: 6.00M
TSEM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 47/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
47 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -120% vs NI +6.1% • ROIC-WACC -5.6% • Z 26
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 45% • VS 200D -8.7% • RSI 45.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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TSEM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.59%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $193.5H $193.5L $166.5C $166.5VOL 1.80M
RES: $263.8SUP: $158.6SMA50: $211.5SMA200: $205.8
$334.6$273.8$213.1$152.3$91.52RES $263.8SUP $158.6$166.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TSEM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) exhibits 23.2% gross margins and 5.4% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 37.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 23.2% gross profitability converts into 12.4% operating margin and 5.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.4% // GM: 23.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.1% paired with -0.23% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.1% // FCF YLD: -0.23%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 26.00 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 26.00 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 96.3x trailing P/E (89.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 96.3x // EV/EBITDA: 37.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $166.48 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 14.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.1% // D/E: 0.05x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 89.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.27).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 96.3x
FORWARD P/E 89.6x
EV / EBITDA 37.0x
FCF YIELD -0.23%
GROSS MARGIN 23.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 12.4%
NET MARGIN 14.1%
ROIC % 5.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.95
DEBT / EQUITY 0.05x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 45.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.27
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TSEMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $152.33
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TSEM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>