ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TSCO // Tractor Supply Company

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000916365 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • RETAIL: Building Materials
$33.94 ▲ +0.29 (+0.86%)
MKT CAP: $17.53B • VOL: 10.77M
TSCO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 67/100 [C+] (+1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +16.3% vs NI -0.5% • ROIC-WACC +19.8% • Z 4.18
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4.2% • P/E 14.9x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did TSCO's Macro Regime Fit & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TSCO is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TSCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.04%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $31.61H $33.94L $31.61C $33.94VOL 9.43M
RES: $34.73SUP: $30.03SMA50: $33.22SMA200: $37.92
$54.69$47.56$40.42$33.28$26.15RES $34.73SUP $30.03$33.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TSCO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 60/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) exhibits 36.4% gross margins and 27.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (RETAIL: Building Materials), balanced against a 8.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 36.4% gross profitability converts into 9.5% operating margin and 27.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 27.9% // GM: 36.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.3% paired with 4.22% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.3% // FCF YLD: 4.22%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.18 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.18 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 16.0x trailing P/E (14.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 16.0x // EV/EBITDA: 8.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $33.94 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in RETAIL: Building Materials require continuous execution to defend 7.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.1% // D/E: 0.68x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 14.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.05).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 16.0x
FORWARD P/E 14.9x
EV / EBITDA 8.6x
FCF YIELD 4.22%
GROSS MARGIN 36.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.5%
NET MARGIN 7.1%
ROIC % 27.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.10
DEBT / EQUITY 0.68x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.78%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.05
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TSCOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $31.06
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TSCO & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>