ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SHW // Sherwin-Williams Company

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000089800 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • RETAIL: Building Materials
$332.61 ▲ +2.51 (+0.76%)
MKT CAP: $79.75B • VOL: 2.21M
SHW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 56/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
56 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +13.1% vs NI -4.2% • ROIC-WACC +11.5% • Z 5.17
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 46% • VS 200D -0.7% • RSI 50.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF YIELD +3% • P/E 28.8x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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SHW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.12%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $320.8H $332.6L $320.8C $332.6VOL 2.37M
RES: $342.3SUP: $314.2SMA50: $328.7SMA200: $332.5
$377.9$354.1$330.2$306.3$282.5RES $342.3SUP $314.2$332.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
SHW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 52/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) exhibits 48.8% gross margins and 18.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (RETAIL: Building Materials), balanced against a 22.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 48.8% gross profitability converts into 13.3% operating margin and 18.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.1% // GM: 48.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.1% paired with 3.00% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.1% // FCF YLD: 3.00%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.17 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.17 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 31.0x trailing P/E (28.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 31.0x // EV/EBITDA: 22.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $332.61 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in RETAIL: Building Materials require continuous execution to defend 10.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.9% // D/E: 2.03x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 28.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.00).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 31.0x
FORWARD P/E 28.8x
EV / EBITDA 22.0x
FCF YIELD 3.00%
GROSS MARGIN 48.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.3%
NET MARGIN 10.9%
ROIC % 18.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $10.63
DEBT / EQUITY 2.03x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.99%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.00
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SHWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $304.35
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>