ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SHC // Sotera Health Company

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001822479 ↗
Health Care • Misc Health and Biotechnology Services
$18.15 ▼ -0.55 (-2.94%)
MKT CAP: $5.18B • VOL: 3.45M
SHC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D+ (RQD 53) -> D (RQD 49)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
49 / 100 -4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +200% vs NI +75.6% • ROIC-WACC -3.1% • Z 1.56
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 75% • VS 200D +6.8% • RSI 47.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 10 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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SHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.93%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $18.70H $18.70L $18.15C $18.15VOL 3.45M
RES: $19.46SUP: $17.60SMA50: $18.47SMA200: $16.99
$20.18$18.57$16.97$15.37$13.76RES $19.46SUP $17.60$18.152026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
SHC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 32/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Sotera Health Company (SHC) exhibits 55.5% gross margins and 3.1% return on invested capital within Health Care (Misc Health and Biotechnology Services), balanced against a 33.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 55.5% gross profitability converts into 8.2% operating margin and 3.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.1% // GM: 55.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.7% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.7% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.56 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.56 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 68.5x trailing P/E (63.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 68.5x // EV/EBITDA: 33.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $18.15 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Misc Health and Biotechnology Services require continuous execution to defend 6.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.7% // D/E: 3.51x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 63.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 68.5x
FORWARD P/E 63.7x
EV / EBITDA 33.5x
FCF YIELD 2.80%
GROSS MARGIN 55.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.2%
NET MARGIN 6.7%
ROIC % 3.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.27
DEBT / EQUITY 3.51x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 47.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.10
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SHCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $16.61
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>