ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SARO // StandardAero Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002025410 ↗
Industrials • Aerospace
$23.38 ▼ -0.41 (-1.72%)
MKT CAP: $7.87B • VOL: 4.81M
SARO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 58/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
58 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +2.6% • Z 2.43
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 28% • VS 200D -10.3% • RSI 66.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +3% • P/E 15.4x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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SARO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.88%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $22.21H $23.79L $22.21C $23.38VOL 4.46M
RES: $24.00SUP: $18.85SMA50: $22.57SMA200: $26.53
$32.49$28.98$25.48$21.98$18.47RES $24.00SUP $18.85$23.382026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
SARO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 54/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

StandardAero Inc. (SARO) exhibits 14.8% gross margins and 10.7% return on invested capital within Industrials (Aerospace), balanced against a 14.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 14.8% gross profitability converts into 9.1% operating margin and 10.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.7% // GM: 14.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +15.8% paired with 2.98% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +15.8% // FCF YLD: 2.98%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.43 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.43 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 18.3x trailing P/E (15.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 18.3x // EV/EBITDA: 14.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $23.38 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Aerospace require continuous execution to defend 7.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.1% // D/E: 0.82x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 15.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.15).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 18.3x
FORWARD P/E 15.4x
EV / EBITDA 14.9x
FCF YIELD 2.98%
GROSS MARGIN 14.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.1%
NET MARGIN 7.1%
ROIC % 10.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +15.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.30
DEBT / EQUITY 0.82x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 66.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.15
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SAROPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $21.39
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>