ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

RGLD // Royal Gold Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000085535 ↗
Materials • Precious Metals
$228.77 ▼ -8.06 (-3.40%)
MKT CAP: $20.07B • VOL: 934.5K
RGLD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +32.5% vs NI +40.4% • ROIC-WACC -3.4% • Z 5.7
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.18 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.13
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did RGLD's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever RGLD is Upgraded or Downgraded.

RGLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.15%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $242.0H $242.0L $228.8C $228.8VOL 414.4K
RES: $285.0SUP: $226.3SMA50: $245.1SMA200: $241.0
$277.4$252.7$228.0$203.4$178.7RES $285.0SUP $226.3$228.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
RGLD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 62/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) exhibits 69.3% gross margins and 6.4% return on invested capital within Materials (Precious Metals), balanced against a 30.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 69.3% gross profitability converts into 61.9% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.4% // GM: 69.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +43.2% paired with 3.28% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +43.2% // FCF YLD: 3.28%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.70 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.70 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 43.0x trailing P/E (36.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 43.0x // EV/EBITDA: 30.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $228.77 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Precious Metals require continuous execution to defend 45.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 45.2% // D/E: 0.13x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 36.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.09).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 43.0x
FORWARD P/E 36.1x
EV / EBITDA 30.6x
FCF YIELD 3.28%
GROSS MARGIN 69.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 61.9%
NET MARGIN 45.2%
ROIC % 6.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +43.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.50
DEBT / EQUITY 0.13x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.59%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.09
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RGLDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $209.33
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for RGLD & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>