ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

POOL // Pool Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000945841 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Industrial Specialties
$214.76 ▲ +8.81 (+4.28%)
MKT CAP: $7.36B • VOL: 1.05M
POOL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -48.4% vs NI -6.4% • ROIC-WACC +16.4% • Z 4.34
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 42% • VS 200D +2.2% • RSI 74
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +4.2% • P/E 16.6x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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POOL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.67%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $204.1H $214.8L $204.1C $214.8VOL 733.4K
RES: $181.9SUP: $143.4SMA50: $175.9SMA200: $201.4
$270.0$238.2$206.4$174.6$142.8RES $181.9SUP $143.4$214.82026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
POOL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 55/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Pool Corporation (POOL) exhibits 29.7% gross margins and 23.7% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Industrial Specialties), balanced against a 12.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 29.7% gross profitability converts into 11.0% operating margin and 23.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 23.7% // GM: 29.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.4% paired with 4.24% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.4% // FCF YLD: 4.24%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.34 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.34 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.9x trailing P/E (16.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.9x // EV/EBITDA: 12.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $214.76 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Specialties require continuous execution to defend 7.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.7% // D/E: 1.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.94).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.9x
FORWARD P/E 16.6x
EV / EBITDA 12.8x
FCF YIELD 4.24%
GROSS MARGIN 29.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 11.0%
NET MARGIN 7.7%
ROIC % 23.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $11.38
DEBT / EQUITY 1.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.54%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 74.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.94
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // POOLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $196.51
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for POOL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>