ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PNW // Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000764622 ↗
Utilities • Electric Utilities: Central
$106.28 ▼ -0.36 (-0.34%)
MKT CAP: $12.92B • VOL: 1.23M
PNW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 65/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 82% • VS 200D +6.1% • RSI 66.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +12.1% • P/E 14.4x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.27 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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PNW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $104.9H $106.6L $104.9C $106.3VOL 1.94M
RES: $107.7SUP: $84.25SMA50: $98.66SMA200: $100.6
$112.6$106.6$100.5$94.45$88.39RES $107.7SUP $84.25$106.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PNW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 5.2% return on invested capital within Utilities (Electric Utilities: Central), balanced against a 17.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 20.0% operating margin and 5.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.2% paired with 12.11% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.2% // FCF YLD: 12.11%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.95 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.95 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 15.5x trailing P/E (14.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 15.5x // EV/EBITDA: 17.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $106.28 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electric Utilities: Central require continuous execution to defend 15.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 15.6% // D/E: 1.31x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 14.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.69).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 15.5x
FORWARD P/E 14.4x
EV / EBITDA 17.4x
FCF YIELD 12.11%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 20.0%
NET MARGIN 15.6%
ROIC % 5.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.87
DEBT / EQUITY 1.31x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.27%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 66.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.69
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PNWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $97.25
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>