ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PENG // Penguin Solutions Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001616533 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$51.93 ▼ -6.86 (-11.67%)
MKT CAP: $3.54B • VOL: 2.45M
PENG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +73.3% vs NI +148.4% • ROIC-WACC +4.4% • Z 3.61
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 58% • VS 200D +32.5% • RSI 50
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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PENG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +60.28%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $60.80H $60.80L $51.93C $51.93VOL 1.62M
RES: $85.99SUP: $50.96SMA50: $56.49SMA200: $44.38
$94.61$74.92$55.22$35.52$15.83RES $85.99SUP $50.96$51.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PENG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) exhibits 28.8% gross margins and 12.4% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 53.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 28.8% gross profitability converts into 4.2% operating margin and 12.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 12.4% // GM: 28.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.9% paired with 2.83% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.9% // FCF YLD: 2.83%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.61 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.61 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 139.5x trailing P/E (117.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 139.5x // EV/EBITDA: 53.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $51.93 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 1.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.9% // D/E: 1.14x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 117.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.30).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 139.5x
FORWARD P/E 117.2x
EV / EBITDA 53.5x
FCF YIELD 2.83%
GROSS MARGIN 28.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.2%
NET MARGIN 1.9%
ROIC % 12.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.42
DEBT / EQUITY 1.14x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.30
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PENGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $47.52
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PENG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>