ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PDD // PDD Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001737806 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$78.61 ▼ -0.67 (-0.84%)
MKT CAP: $112.85B • VOL: 5.48M
PDD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF -12.3% vs NI -9.2% • ROIC-WACC +9.3% • Z 4.57
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +11.1% • P/E 6.8x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did PDD's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever PDD is Upgraded or Downgraded.

PDD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.61%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $77.46H $79.28L $77.46C $78.61VOL 5.10M
RES: $80.44SUP: $71.49SMA50: $79.96SMA200: $90.78
$117.9$105.5$93.00$80.54$68.07RES $80.44SUP $71.49$78.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PDD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 59/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) exhibits 56.3% gross margins and 18.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 7.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 56.3% gross profitability converts into 21.6% operating margin and 18.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.6% // GM: 56.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +14.5% paired with 11.09% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +14.5% // FCF YLD: 11.09%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.57 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.57 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 8.1x trailing P/E (6.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 8.1x // EV/EBITDA: 7.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $78.61 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend 22.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 22.7% // D/E: 0.22x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 6.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.06).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 8.1x
FORWARD P/E 6.8x
EV / EBITDA 7.0x
FCF YIELD 11.09%
GROSS MARGIN 56.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 21.6%
NET MARGIN 22.7%
ROIC % 18.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +14.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $9.83
DEBT / EQUITY 0.22x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.06
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PDDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $71.93
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PDD & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>