ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

OXM // Oxford Industries Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000075288 ↗
Industrials • Garments and Clothing
$28.20 ▼ -0.43 (-1.50%)
MKT CAP: $428.8M • VOL: 962.2K
OXM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C- (RQD 60) -> D (RQD 47)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
47 / 100 -13D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -81.1% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -13.3% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.23
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 9 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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OXM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.03%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $27.21H $28.63L $27.21C $28.20VOL 343.7K
RES: $31.26SUP: $20.98SMA50: $29.27SMA200: $36.76
$51.36$44.00$36.64$29.28$21.92RES $31.26SUP $20.98$28.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
OXM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 35/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Oxford Industries Inc. (OXM) exhibits 60.7% gross margins and -4.0% return on invested capital within Industrials (Garments and Clothing), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 60.7% gross profitability converts into -2.1% operating margin and -4.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -4.0% // GM: 60.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.6% paired with 2.64% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.6% // FCF YLD: 2.64%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $28.20 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Garments and Clothing require continuous execution to defend -1.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -1.9% // D/E: 0.23x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 2.64%
GROSS MARGIN 60.7%
OPERATING MARGIN -2.1%
NET MARGIN -1.9%
ROIC % -4.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.23x
DIVIDEND YIELD 9.82%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // OXMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $25.80
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>