ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ON // ON Semiconductor Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001097864 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$71.67 ▼ -3.57 (-4.74%)
MKT CAP: $29.29B • VOL: 16.57M
ON // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 54/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
54 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +17% vs NI -92.3% • ROIC-WACC -8.4% • Z 5.49
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 34% • VS 200D -8.8% • RSI 49.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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ON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.76%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $75.63H $75.63L $71.67C $71.67VOL 8.53M
RES: $87.70SUP: $53.79SMA50: $74.84SMA200: $82.54
$140.3$118.1$95.88$73.69$51.49RES $87.70SUP $53.79$71.672026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ON // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 32/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) exhibits 33.1% gross margins and 0.8% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 80.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 33.1% gross profitability converts into 1.4% operating margin and 0.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.8% // GM: 33.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -15.3% paired with 4.84% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -15.3% // FCF YLD: 4.84%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.49 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.49 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 80.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $71.67 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 2.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.0% // D/E: 0.39x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.17).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 80.5x
FCF YIELD 4.84%
GROSS MARGIN 33.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.4%
NET MARGIN 2.0%
ROIC % 0.8%
REV GROWTH YOY -15.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.39x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.17
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ONPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $65.58
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>