Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) exhibits 40.5% gross margins and 11.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), balanced against a 14.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.
Sustained 40.5% gross profitability converts into 11.2% operating margin and 11.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.
ROIC: 11.3% // GM: 40.5%YoY revenue trajectory of +16.6% paired with 3.55% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.
REV YOY: +16.6% // FCF YLD: 3.55%Altman Z-Score of 5.31 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.
ALTMAN Z: 5.31 // F-SCORE: 9/9Trading at 22.8x trailing P/E (19.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.
P/E: 22.8x // EV/EBITDA: 14.8xOptions market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $90.26 max pain.
IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Department/Specialty Retail Stores require continuous execution to defend 9.1% net margins.
NET MARGIN: 9.1% // D/E: 0.24x| FILER | SIDE | $ VALUE |
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| INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO> | ||
| STRIKE / EXP | TYPE | PREMIUM |
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| INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO> | ||
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