ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
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OGE // OGE Energy Corp

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001021635 ↗
Utilities • Electric Utilities: Central
$49.47 ▲ +0.10 (+0.20%)
MKT CAP: $10.21B • VOL: 2.16M
OGE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 69/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
69 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 86% • VS 200D +4.6% • RSI 67.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +9.7% • P/E 20.2x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.25 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.06
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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OGE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $48.87H $49.47L $48.87C $49.47VOL 2.31M
RES: $50.44SUP: $42.82SMA50: $46.65SMA200: $47.20
$51.03$49.19$47.35$45.51$43.67RES $50.44SUP $42.82$49.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
OGE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

OGE Energy Corp (OGE) exhibits 60.5% gross margins and 6.1% return on invested capital within Utilities (Electric Utilities: Central), balanced against a 16.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 60.5% gross profitability converts into 25.1% operating margin and 6.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.1% // GM: 60.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.4% paired with 9.73% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.4% // FCF YLD: 9.73%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.39 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.39 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.7x trailing P/E (20.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.7x // EV/EBITDA: 16.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $49.47 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electric Utilities: Central require continuous execution to defend 14.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.8% // D/E: 1.08x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.55).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.7x
FORWARD P/E 20.2x
EV / EBITDA 16.9x
FCF YIELD 9.73%
GROSS MARGIN 60.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 25.1%
NET MARGIN 14.8%
ROIC % 6.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.28
DEBT / EQUITY 1.08x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.35%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 67.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.55
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // OGEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $45.27
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>