ROARABLE // PRO
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MPWR // Monolithic Power Systems Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001280452 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$1,211.63 ▲ +12.82 (+1.07%)
MKT CAP: $58.91B • VOL: 2.13M
MPWR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +3.7% vs NI -61% • ROIC-WACC +1.5% • Z 26
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.05 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.44
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MPWR's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MPWR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MPWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.99%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1,211.2H $1,211.6L $1,198.8C $1,211.6VOL 789.9K
RES: $1,458.3SUP: $1,067.0SMA50: $1,270.6SMA200: $1,318.0
$1,762.7$1,561.4$1,360.1$1,158.8$957.4RES $1,458.3SUP $1,067.0$1,211.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MPWR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) exhibits 55.2% gross margins and 12.2% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 66.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 55.2% gross profitability converts into 26.1% operating margin and 12.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 12.2% // GM: 55.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +26.4% paired with 1.13% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +26.4% // FCF YLD: 1.13%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 26.00 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 26.00 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 94.8x trailing P/E (79.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 94.8x // EV/EBITDA: 66.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1,211.63 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 22.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 22.3% // D/E: 0.08x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 79.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.24).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 94.8x
FORWARD P/E 79.6x
EV / EBITDA 66.4x
FCF YIELD 1.13%
GROSS MARGIN 55.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 26.1%
NET MARGIN 22.3%
ROIC % 12.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +26.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $12.65
DEBT / EQUITY 0.08x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.48%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 42.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.24
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MPWRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1,108.68
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MPWR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>