ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MPLX // MPLX LP Common

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001552000 ↗
Energy • Natural Gas Distribution
$60.16 ▲ +0.27 (+0.45%)
MKT CAP: $60.72B • VOL: 1.48M
MPLX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 77/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
77 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -16.1% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +11.9% • Z 2.17
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 90% • VS 200D +4.6% • RSI 61.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.28
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
SIGNAL

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MPLX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.23%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-01O $58.93H $60.16L $58.93C $60.16VOL 1.08M
RES: $62.03SUP: $56.12SMA50: $58.40SMA200: $57.25
$61.48$59.29$57.10$54.91$52.72RES $62.03SUP $56.12$60.162026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-01
MPLX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 55/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

MPLX LP Common (MPLX) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 19.3% return on invested capital within Energy (Natural Gas Distribution), balanced against a 9.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 61.1% operating margin and 19.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 19.3% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.8% paired with 6.75% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.8% // FCF YLD: 6.75%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.17 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.17 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 13.1x trailing P/E (12.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 13.1x // EV/EBITDA: 9.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $60.16 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Natural Gas Distribution require continuous execution to defend 47.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 47.7% // D/E: 0.82x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 12.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.89).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 13.1x
FORWARD P/E 12.2x
EV / EBITDA 9.4x
FCF YIELD 6.75%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 61.1%
NET MARGIN 47.7%
ROIC % 19.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.57
DEBT / EQUITY 0.82x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.89
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MPLXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $55.05
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MPLX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>