ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MH // McGraw Hill Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001951070 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Publishing
$13.34 ▼ -0.54 (-3.89%)
MKT CAP: $2.66B • VOL: 439.4K
MH // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D+ (RQD 55) -> D (RQD 51)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
51 / 100 -4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -57.2% vs NI +191.6% • ROIC-WACC +1.4% • Z 0.52
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 55% • VS 200D +10% • RSI 52.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.18 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.04
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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MH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.43%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $13.66H $13.88L $13.34C $13.34VOL 297.3K
RES: $15.06SUP: $13.36SMA50: $13.35SMA200: $12.62
$15.30$13.57$11.85$10.13$8.41RES $15.06SUP $13.36$13.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
MH // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) exhibits 80.9% gross margins and 7.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Publishing), balanced against a 13.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 80.9% gross profitability converts into 13.2% operating margin and 7.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.6% // GM: 80.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.1% paired with 9.28% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.1% // FCF YLD: 9.28%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.52 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.52 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 33.8x trailing P/E (31.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 33.8x // EV/EBITDA: 13.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $13.34 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Publishing require continuous execution to defend 3.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.7% // D/E: 3.36x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 31.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 33.8x
FORWARD P/E 31.4x
EV / EBITDA 13.6x
FCF YIELD 9.28%
GROSS MARGIN 80.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.2%
NET MARGIN 3.7%
ROIC % 7.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.41
DEBT / EQUITY 3.36x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MHPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $12.21
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>