ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MCO // Moody's Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001059556 ↗
Financials • Finance: Consumer Services
$506.02 ▲ +12.11 (+2.45%)
MKT CAP: $85.15B • VOL: 927.4K
MCO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 73/100 [B] (+1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
74 / 100 +1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +2.1% vs NI +19.5% • ROIC-WACC +22.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 63% • VS 200D +5.9% • RSI 59.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +3.1% • P/E 31.9x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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MCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.56%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $488.8H $506.0L $488.8C $506.0VOL 1.63M
RES: $516.3SUP: $423.8SMA50: $476.2SMA200: $466.2
$530.1$501.9$473.8$445.6$417.5RES $516.3SUP $423.8$506.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
MCO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 64/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Moody's Corporation (MCO) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 30.6% return on invested capital within Financials (Finance: Consumer Services), balanced against a 24.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 43.4% operating margin and 30.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 30.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.9% paired with 3.06% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.9% // FCF YLD: 3.06%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 34.3x trailing P/E (31.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 34.3x // EV/EBITDA: 24.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $506.02 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Finance: Consumer Services require continuous execution to defend 31.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 31.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 31.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.91).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 34.3x
FORWARD P/E 31.9x
EV / EBITDA 24.5x
FCF YIELD 3.06%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 43.4%
NET MARGIN 31.9%
ROIC % 30.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $14.26
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.83%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 59.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.91
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MCOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $463.03
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>