ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MCD // McDonald's Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000063908 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$258.12 ▲ +0.74 (+0.29%)
MKT CAP: $182.13B • VOL: 6.53M
MCD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 75/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
75 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +7.7% vs NI +4.1% • ROIC-WACC +18.5% • Z 6.61
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4% • P/E 19.8x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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MCD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.14%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $250.5H $258.1L $250.5C $258.1VOL 4.55M
RES: $262.3SUP: $218.5SMA50: $247.7SMA200: $282.7
$318.8$294.5$270.2$245.9$221.7RES $262.3SUP $218.5$258.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MCD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 59/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 26.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 14.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 46.1% operating margin and 26.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 26.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.7% paired with 3.95% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.7% // FCF YLD: 3.95%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.61 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.61 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.3x trailing P/E (19.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.3x // EV/EBITDA: 14.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $258.12 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend 31.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 31.9% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.00).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.3x
FORWARD P/E 19.8x
EV / EBITDA 14.5x
FCF YIELD 3.95%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 46.1%
NET MARGIN 31.9%
ROIC % 26.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $12.10
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.81%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 66.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.00
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MCDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $236.19
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MCD & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>