LLYVK // Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002078416 ↗

Consumer Discretionary • Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation

$104.73 ▲ +0.36 (+0.35%)

MKT CAP: $9.60B • VOL: 231.4K

52W L $77 52W H $110

ROARABLE / RQD

D- • 40/100

ALTMAN Z

1.96 GREY

PIOTROSKI

4 / 9

LLYVK // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE

PRIOR: RQD 40/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED AS OF 2026-11-03

ROARABLE D-

RQD CONFIDENCE

40 / 100 +0D

5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS

E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+

Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow

01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL

Forensic Fundamentals

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND

Whale & Options Flow

14 / 20

SOLID

52W RANGE 84% • VS 200D +6.6% • RSI 63.7

03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION

Insider & Capital Conviction

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX

Macro Regime Fit

7 / 20

WARNING

HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.34

05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT

Forensic 10-K Risk

10 / 20

NEUTRAL

20 BASE - 10 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE

ALERT

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LLYVK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.30%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $103.4H $104.7L $103.4C $104.7VOL 184.1K

RES: $104.6SUP: $93.12SMA50: $99.74SMA200: $97.89

LLYVK // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE

UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 41/100

BEAR 0

100 BULL

Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group (LLYVK) exhibits 19.2% gross margins and -5.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)

01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 19.2% gross profitability converts into -13.5% operating margin and -5.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -5.4% // GM: 19.2%

02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +12.2% paired with -0.49% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +12.2% // FCF YLD: -0.49%

03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.96 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.96 // F-SCORE: 4/9

▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)

01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (19.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —

02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $104.73 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85

03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation require continuous execution to defend -22.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -22.8% // D/E: 0.85x

KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.

MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).

FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>

FILER	SIDE	$ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>

UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>

STRIKE / EXP	TYPE	PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>

KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>

TRAILING P/E —

FORWARD P/E 19.0x

EV / EBITDA —

FCF YIELD -0.49%

GROSS MARGIN 19.2%

OPERATING MARGIN -13.5%

NET MARGIN -22.8%

ROIC % -5.4%

REV GROWTH YOY +12.2%

DILUTED EPS TTM $-0.95

DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x

DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%

RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.7

5Y EQUITY BETA 1.10

FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>

MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.

FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // LLYVKPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE

01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO

02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE

HEADLINE STRESS SCORE

75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE

PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE

DFII10 // -0.61 r

Latest: 2.08%

EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE

-8.50%

Implied Px: $95.83

EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE

-$4,248

On $50,000 Notional

[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for LLYVK & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

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