ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
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LION // Lionsgate Studios Corp

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002052959 ↗
Communication Services • Movies/Entertainment
$12.45 ▼ -0.40 (-3.11%)
MKT CAP: $3.82B • VOL: 2.70M
LION // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 59/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +106.4% vs NI +45.2% • ROIC-WACC +17% • Z 0.45
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 63% • VS 200D +10.1% • RSI 64
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.09 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.14
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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LION // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $12.20H $12.85L $12.20C $12.45VOL 6.44M
RES: $13.06SUP: $10.06SMA50: $11.47SMA200: $11.67
$17.30$14.80$12.30$9.80$7.30RES $13.06SUP $10.06$12.452026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
LION // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 57/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 25.1% return on invested capital within Communication Services (Movies/Entertainment), balanced against a 49.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 3.7% operating margin and 25.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 25.1% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.8% paired with 0.30% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.8% // FCF YLD: 0.30%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.45 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.45 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (19.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 49.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.45 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Movies/Entertainment require continuous execution to defend -7.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -7.5% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.16).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 19.0x
EV / EBITDA 49.8x
FCF YIELD 0.30%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 3.7%
NET MARGIN -7.5%
ROIC % 25.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-0.67
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.16
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // LIONPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.39
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>