ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

LEA // Lear Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000842162 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto Parts:O.E.M.
$118.44 ▲ +1.06 (+0.90%)
MKT CAP: $5.79B • VOL: 841.3K
LEA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 55/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
55 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -6.1% vs NI -13.8% • ROIC-WACC +0.5% • Z 2.97
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 36% • VS 200D -8.6% • RSI 43.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +9.1% • P/E 12.4x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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LEA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.77%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $116.9H $118.4L $116.9C $118.4VOL 737.1K
RES: $121.2SUP: $112.5SMA50: $121.9SMA200: $128.4
$152.9$142.2$131.4$120.7$109.9RES $121.2SUP $112.5$118.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
LEA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 45/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Lear Corporation (LEA) exhibits 6.5% gross margins and 8.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), balanced against a 6.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 6.5% gross profitability converts into 3.3% operating margin and 8.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.8% // GM: 6.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.2% paired with 9.11% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.2% // FCF YLD: 9.11%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.97 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.97 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 13.3x trailing P/E (12.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 13.3x // EV/EBITDA: 6.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $118.44 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto Parts:O.E.M. require continuous execution to defend 1.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.9% // D/E: 0.59x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 12.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.04).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 13.3x
FORWARD P/E 12.4x
EV / EBITDA 6.2x
FCF YIELD 9.11%
GROSS MARGIN 6.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 3.3%
NET MARGIN 1.9%
ROIC % 8.8%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $8.86
DEBT / EQUITY 0.59x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.85%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.04
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // LEAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $108.38
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>