ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KRMN // Karman Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002040127 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$39.95 ▼ -1.74 (-4.17%)
MKT CAP: $5.53B • VOL: 2.29M
KRMN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 46/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
46 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -120% vs NI +36.7% • ROIC-WACC +1.1% • Z 5.47
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 14% • VS 200D -34% • RSI 65
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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KRMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.84%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $37.98H $41.69L $37.98C $39.95VOL 3.31M
RES: $57.60SUP: $26.92SMA50: $36.64SMA200: $63.14
$92.02$75.03$58.04$41.06$24.07RES $57.60SUP $26.92$39.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
KRMN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 63/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) exhibits 40.3% gross margins and 8.8% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 64.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 40.3% gross profitability converts into 15.5% operating margin and 8.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.8% // GM: 40.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +36.6% paired with -0.77% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +36.6% // FCF YLD: -0.77%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.47 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.47 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 64.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $39.95 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend 3.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.7% // D/E: 0.79x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.96).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 64.2x
FCF YIELD -0.77%
GROSS MARGIN 40.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 15.5%
NET MARGIN 3.7%
ROIC % 8.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +36.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.79x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 65.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.96
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KRMNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $36.56
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for KRMN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>