ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KEX // Kirby Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000056047 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Marine Transportation
$143.93 ▼ -2.07 (-1.42%)
MKT CAP: $7.71B • VOL: 589.4K
KEX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 75/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
75 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 79% • VS 200D +6.6% • RSI 64.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.7% • P/E 20.2x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.13 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.37
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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KEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.38%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $146.1H $146.1L $143.9C $143.9VOL 1.09M
RES: $148.4SUP: $126.8SMA50: $137.6SMA200: $137.0
$154.2$143.0$131.8$120.7$109.5RES $148.4SUP $126.8$143.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
KEX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Kirby Corporation (KEX) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 9.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Marine Transportation), balanced against a 13.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 14.8% operating margin and 9.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.3% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.0% paired with 6.73% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.0% // FCF YLD: 6.73%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.29 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.29 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.7x trailing P/E (20.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.7x // EV/EBITDA: 13.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $143.93 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Marine Transportation require continuous execution to defend 10.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.5% // D/E: 0.27x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.08).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.7x
FORWARD P/E 20.2x
EV / EBITDA 13.7x
FCF YIELD 6.73%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 14.8%
NET MARGIN 10.5%
ROIC % 9.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.72
DEBT / EQUITY 0.27x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.08
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KEXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $131.70
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>