ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HXL // Hexcel Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000717605 ↗
Materials • Major Chemicals
$77.84 ▼ -1.71 (-2.15%)
MKT CAP: $6.02B • VOL: 1.51M
HXL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 52/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
52 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -22.5% vs NI -17.2% • ROIC-WACC -1.6% • Z 4.77
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.39
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did HXL's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HXL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HXL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.17%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $78.01H $79.55L $77.84C $77.84VOL 1.75M
RES: $92.16SUP: $76.91SMA50: $87.20SMA200: $90.58
$114.4$103.5$92.71$81.89$71.07RES $92.16SUP $76.91$77.842026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
HXL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 36/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Hexcel Corporation (HXL) exhibits 23.0% gross margins and 6.2% return on invested capital within Materials (Major Chemicals), balanced against a 29.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 23.0% gross profitability converts into 9.1% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.2% // GM: 23.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.5% paired with 2.61% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.5% // FCF YLD: 2.61%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.77 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.77 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 55.0x trailing P/E (51.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 55.0x // EV/EBITDA: 29.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $77.84 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Chemicals require continuous execution to defend 5.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.8% // D/E: 0.79x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 51.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.02).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 55.0x
FORWARD P/E 51.2x
EV / EBITDA 29.7x
FCF YIELD 2.61%
GROSS MARGIN 23.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.1%
NET MARGIN 5.8%
ROIC % 6.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.45
DEBT / EQUITY 0.79x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.90%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.02
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HXLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $71.23
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HXL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>