ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

GSHD // Goosehead Insurance Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001726978 ↗
Financials • Specialty Insurers
$47.61 ▲ +0.04 (+0.07%)
MKT CAP: $1.69B • VOL: 327.6K
GSHD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 59/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +22% vs NI -8.5% • ROIC-WACC +27.9% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.08 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.08
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did GSHD's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever GSHD is Upgraded or Downgraded.

GSHD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.22%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $47.57H $47.61L $47.57C $47.61VOL 327.6K
RES: $89.56SUP: $44.23SMA50: $52.21SMA200: $50.49
$77.27$65.46$53.64$41.83$30.01RES $89.56SUP $44.23$47.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
GSHD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 59/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Goosehead Insurance Inc. (Class A) (GSHD) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 36.9% return on invested capital within Financials (Specialty Insurers), balanced against a 24.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 20.4% operating margin and 36.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 36.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 5.10% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 5.10%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 60.7x trailing P/E (56.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 60.7x // EV/EBITDA: 24.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $47.61 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Specialty Insurers require continuous execution to defend 7.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 56.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 60.7x
FORWARD P/E 56.5x
EV / EBITDA 24.5x
FCF YIELD 5.10%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 20.4%
NET MARGIN 7.6%
ROIC % 36.9%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.78
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 8.63%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // GSHDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $43.56
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for GSHD & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>