ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

GAP // Gap Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000039911 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores
$22.32 ▼ -0.57 (-2.49%)
MKT CAP: $8.04B • VOL: 5.16M
GAP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF -20.8% vs NI -3.3% • ROIC-WACC +24% • Z 2.94
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 42% • VS 200D -0.8% • RSI 53.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +10.2% • P/E 9.2x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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GAP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.70%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $22.00H $22.89L $22.00C $22.32VOL 4.59M
RES: $28.80SUP: $20.95SMA50: $22.24SMA200: $23.08
$26.34$24.11$21.88$19.65$17.42RES $28.80SUP $20.95$22.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
GAP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 63/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Gap Inc. (GAP) exhibits 40.8% gross margins and 32.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), balanced against a 4.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 40.8% gross profitability converts into 7.3% operating margin and 32.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 32.9% // GM: 40.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.9% paired with 10.24% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.9% // FCF YLD: 10.24%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.94 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.94 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 9.9x trailing P/E (9.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 9.9x // EV/EBITDA: 4.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $22.32 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores require continuous execution to defend 5.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.3% // D/E: 0.39x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 9.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.08).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 9.9x
FORWARD P/E 9.2x
EV / EBITDA 4.6x
FCF YIELD 10.24%
GROSS MARGIN 40.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 7.3%
NET MARGIN 5.3%
ROIC % 32.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.32
DEBT / EQUITY 0.39x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.07%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.08
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // GAPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $20.42
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>