ROARABLE // PRO
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GAIA // Gaia Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001089872 ↗
Communication Services • Movies/Entertainment
$1.45 ▲ +0.01 (+0.69%)
MKT CAP: $36.9M • VOL: 79.3K
GAIA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 26/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
26 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 7% • VS 200D -37% • RSI 54.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.04 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.17
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
8 / 20
WARNING
20 BASE - 12 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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GAIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.53%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $1.44H $1.45L $1.44C $1.45VOL 79.3K
RES: $1.44SUP: $1.21SMA50: $1.40SMA200: $2.30
$4.36$3.49$2.63$1.76$0.89RES $1.44SUP $1.21$1.452026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
GAIA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 41/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) exhibits 87.1% gross margins and -5.0% return on invested capital within Communication Services (Movies/Entertainment), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 87.1% gross profitability converts into -5.2% operating margin and -5.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -5.0% // GM: 87.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.8% paired with -1.03% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.8% // FCF YLD: -1.03%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.20 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.45 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Movies/Entertainment require continuous execution to defend -4.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -4.5% // D/E: 0.06x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -1.03%
GROSS MARGIN 87.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -5.2%
NET MARGIN -4.5%
ROIC % -5.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.06x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // GAIAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1.33
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>