ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

FENC // Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001211583 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)
$10.54 ▲ +0.30 (+2.93%)
MKT CAP: $358.7M • VOL: 182.9K
FENC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D- (RQD 37) -> E (RQD 33)
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
33 / 100 -4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
7 / 20
WARNING
FCF -120% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -34.5% • Z 3.31
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 60% • VS 200D +10.8% • RSI 46.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.03 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.25
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

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FENC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +58.50%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $10.95H $10.95L $10.24C $10.54VOL 195.7K
RES: $11.13SUP: $9.96SMA50: $10.90SMA200: $9.24
$13.72$11.78$9.84$7.90$5.96RES $11.13SUP $9.96$10.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
FENC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (FENC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -25.9% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -14.1% operating margin and -25.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -25.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -6.1% paired with -3.25% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -6.1% // FCF YLD: -3.25%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.31 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.31 // F-SCORE: 2/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $10.54 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -3.25%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -14.1%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -25.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -6.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FENCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.64
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>