ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

FCX // Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000831259 ↗
Materials • Metal Mining
$62.47 ▼ -3.67 (-5.55%)
MKT CAP: $94.98B • VOL: 17.94M
FCX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 65/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -25.7% vs NI +16.7% • ROIC-WACC +13.3% • Z 3.08
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.05 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.42
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did FCX's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever FCX is Upgraded or Downgraded.

FCX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.42%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $66.60H $66.60L $62.47C $62.47VOL 11.20M
RES: $86.87SUP: $61.28SMA50: $71.14SMA200: $65.28
$82.30$73.76$65.21$56.66$48.12RES $86.87SUP $61.28$62.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
FCX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) exhibits 26.1% gross margins and 21.5% return on invested capital within Materials (Metal Mining), balanced against a 13.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 26.1% gross profitability converts into 25.9% operating margin and 21.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 21.5% // GM: 26.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.1% paired with 4.71% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.1% // FCF YLD: 4.71%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.08 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.08 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 43.1x trailing P/E (40.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 43.1x // EV/EBITDA: 13.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $62.47 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Metal Mining require continuous execution to defend 8.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 8.8% // D/E: 0.47x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 40.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.95).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 43.1x
FORWARD P/E 40.1x
EV / EBITDA 13.4x
FCF YIELD 4.71%
GROSS MARGIN 26.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 25.9%
NET MARGIN 8.8%
ROIC % 21.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.53
DEBT / EQUITY 0.47x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.91%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.95
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FCXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $57.16
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for FCX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>