ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

EXLS // ExlService Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001297989 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$41.43 ▲ +0.31 (+0.75%)
MKT CAP: $6.20B • VOL: 2.13M
EXLS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 87/100 [A] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE A
RQD CONFIDENCE
87 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Buy — Excellent Cash & Whale Support
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
18 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 85% • VS 200D +25.8% • RSI 64.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4.8% • P/E 20.7x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

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EXLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.61%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $40.72H $41.43L $40.72C $41.43VOL 3.43M
RES: $43.86SUP: $38.21SMA50: $37.47SMA200: $32.68
$44.23$38.98$33.72$28.47$23.22RES $43.86SUP $38.21$41.432026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
EXLS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 62/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

ExlService Holdings Inc. (EXLS) exhibits 38.4% gross margins and 23.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 17.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 38.4% gross profitability converts into 15.0% operating margin and 23.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 23.4% // GM: 38.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +13.6% paired with 4.81% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +13.6% // FCF YLD: 4.81%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.16 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.16 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.7x trailing P/E (20.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.7x // EV/EBITDA: 17.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $41.43 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend 12.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 12.0% // D/E: 0.32x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.98).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 24.7x
FORWARD P/E 20.7x
EV / EBITDA 17.7x
FCF YIELD 4.81%
GROSS MARGIN 38.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 15.0%
NET MARGIN 12.0%
ROIC % 23.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +13.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.66
DEBT / EQUITY 0.32x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.98
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // EXLSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $37.91
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for EXLS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>