ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ES // Eversource Energy (D/B/A)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000072741 ↗
Utilities • Electric Utilities: Central
$68.55 ▲ +0.65 (+0.96%)
MKT CAP: $25.58B • VOL: 6.26M
ES // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 46/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
46 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF +98.1% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -0.9% • Z 0.92
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 37% • VS 200D -3% • RSI 55.4
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD -0.2% • P/E 9.2x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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ES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.28%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $66.90H $68.55L $66.90C $68.55VOL 3.68M
RES: $68.61SUP: $61.75SMA50: $67.33SMA200: $70.01
$77.54$73.52$69.51$65.49$61.47RES $68.61SUP $61.75$68.552026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ES // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 5.5% return on invested capital within Utilities (Electric Utilities: Central), balanced against a 8.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 22.1% operating margin and 5.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +13.8% paired with -0.18% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +13.8% // FCF YLD: -0.18%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.92 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.92 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 11.0x trailing P/E (9.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 11.0x // EV/EBITDA: 8.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $68.55 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electric Utilities: Central require continuous execution to defend 17.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 17.2% // D/E: 1.66x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 9.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.74).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 11.0x
FORWARD P/E 9.2x
EV / EBITDA 8.0x
FCF YIELD -0.18%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 22.1%
NET MARGIN 17.2%
ROIC % 5.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +13.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.19
DEBT / EQUITY 1.66x
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.27%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.4
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.74
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ESPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $62.73
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>