ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

EME // EMCOR Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000105634 ↗
Industrials • Engineering & Construction
$679.55 ▼ -9.77 (-1.42%)
MKT CAP: $30.41B • VOL: 554.1K
EME // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -28.5% vs NI +26.4% • ROIC-WACC +19.1% • Z 6.73
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +1.8% • P/E 20.1x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did EME's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever EME is Upgraded or Downgraded.

EME // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $678.6H $689.3L $678.6C $679.6VOL 667.5K
RES: $811.8SUP: $614.6SMA50: $739.8SMA200: $782.0
$974.4$881.5$788.6$695.8$602.9RES $811.8SUP $614.6$679.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
EME // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 66/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) exhibits 19.3% gross margins and 27.5% return on invested capital within Industrials (Engineering & Construction), balanced against a 13.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 19.3% gross profitability converts into 10.1% operating margin and 27.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 27.5% // GM: 19.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.6% paired with 1.77% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.6% // FCF YLD: 1.77%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.73 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.73 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 23.9x trailing P/E (20.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 23.9x // EV/EBITDA: 13.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $679.55 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Engineering & Construction require continuous execution to defend 7.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.5% // D/E: 0.64x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.13).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 23.9x
FORWARD P/E 20.1x
EV / EBITDA 13.4x
FCF YIELD 1.77%
GROSS MARGIN 19.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 10.1%
NET MARGIN 7.5%
ROIC % 27.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $28.86
DEBT / EQUITY 0.64x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.15%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 41.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.13
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // EMEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $621.81
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for EME & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>