ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

EAT // Brinker International Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000703351 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$212.18 ▼ -7.72 (-3.51%)
MKT CAP: $9.14B • VOL: 1.21M
EAT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 84/100 [A-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE A-
RQD CONFIDENCE
84 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
20 / 20
STRONG
FCF +34.8% vs NI +27.1% • ROIC-WACC +46.3% • Z 7.03
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
17 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 77% • VS 200D +25.7% • RSI 60.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did EAT's Macro Regime Fit & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever EAT is Upgraded or Downgraded.

EAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +51.36%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $220.7H $220.7L $212.2C $212.2VOL 1.75M
RES: $229.7SUP: $186.0SMA50: $208.3SMA200: $175.0
$264.1$226.4$188.7$151.0$113.3RES $229.7SUP $186.0$212.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
EAT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 80/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Brinker International Inc. (EAT) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 53.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 11.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 10.7% operating margin and 53.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 53.3% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +7.9% paired with 6.10% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +7.9% // FCF YLD: 6.10%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 7.03 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 7.03 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 18.8x trailing P/E (17.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 18.8x // EV/EBITDA: 11.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $212.18 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend 8.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 8.4% // D/E: 1.46x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 17.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.98).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 18.8x
FORWARD P/E 17.5x
EV / EBITDA 11.8x
FCF YIELD 6.10%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 10.7%
NET MARGIN 8.4%
ROIC % 53.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +7.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $11.72
DEBT / EQUITY 1.46x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 60.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.98
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // EATPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $194.15
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for EAT & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>