ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DRI // Darden Restaurants Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000940944 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$220.17 ▼ -0.31 (-0.14%)
MKT CAP: $24.95B • VOL: 772.2K
DRI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +15% vs NI +15% • ROIC-WACC +13% • Z 2.63
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 85% • VS 200D +7.1% • RSI 62.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.19
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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DRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.62%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $216.6H $220.5L $216.6C $220.2VOL 797.8K
RES: $224.2SUP: $193.3SMA50: $210.4SMA200: $205.8
$232.5$221.0$209.5$197.9$186.4RES $224.2SUP $193.3$220.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
DRI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 57/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Darden Restaurants Inc. (DRI) exhibits 20.3% gross margins and 19.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 13.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 20.3% gross profitability converts into 12.0% operating margin and 19.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 19.5% // GM: 20.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.4% paired with 2.57% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.4% // FCF YLD: 2.57%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.63 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.63 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 20.7x trailing P/E (19.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 20.7x // EV/EBITDA: 13.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $220.17 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend 9.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 9.1% // D/E: 2.19x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.93).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 20.7x
FORWARD P/E 19.3x
EV / EBITDA 13.3x
FCF YIELD 2.57%
GROSS MARGIN 20.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 12.0%
NET MARGIN 9.1%
ROIC % 19.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $10.67
DEBT / EQUITY 2.19x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.78%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 62.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.93
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DRIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $201.46
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>