ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DCO // Ducommun Incorporated

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000030305 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$163.65 ▲ +3.37 (+2.10%)
MKT CAP: $2.42B • VOL: 140.6K
DCO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 40/100 [D-] (-3 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
37 / 100 -3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
7 / 20
WARNING
FCF -120% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -11.7% • Z 4.43
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 60% • VS 200D +4.1% • RSI 43.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.29
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did DCO's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever DCO is Upgraded or Downgraded.

DCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.44%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $168.1H $168.1L $160.3C $163.7VOL 194.1K
RES: $168.3SUP: $150.2SMA50: $169.2SMA200: $154.0
$217.7$187.4$157.2$126.9$96.62RES $168.3SUP $150.2$163.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
DCO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) exhibits 26.9% gross margins and -3.1% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 26.9% gross profitability converts into -4.3% operating margin and -3.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -3.1% // GM: 26.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.9% paired with -1.92% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.9% // FCF YLD: -1.92%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.43 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.43 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $163.65 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend -4.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -4.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -1.92%
GROSS MARGIN 26.9%
OPERATING MARGIN -4.3%
NET MARGIN -4.5%
ROIC % -3.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.45x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DCOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $149.75
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>