ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

COF // Capital One Financial Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000927628 ↗
Financials • Major Banks
$204.85 ▼ -3.89 (-1.86%)
MKT CAP: $128.06B • VOL: 4.56M
COF // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +54.2% vs NI -48.4% • ROIC-WACC -8.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 40% • VS 200D +3.9% • RSI 58.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.04 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.51
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did COF's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever COF is Upgraded or Downgraded.

COF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $204.9H $208.7L $204.9C $204.9VOL 3.76M
RES: $241.1SUP: $186.9SMA50: $204.4SMA200: $200.9
$231.9$216.3$200.7$185.0$169.4RES $241.1SUP $186.9$204.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
COF // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 0.9% return on invested capital within Financials (Major Banks), balanced against a 64.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 37.1% operating margin and 0.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +36.3% paired with 20.41% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +36.3% // FCF YLD: 20.41%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 52.2x trailing P/E (43.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 52.2x // EV/EBITDA: 64.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $204.85 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Banks require continuous execution to defend 30.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 30.4% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 43.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.08).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 52.2x
FORWARD P/E 43.8x
EV / EBITDA 64.8x
FCF YIELD 20.41%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 37.1%
NET MARGIN 30.4%
ROIC % 0.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +36.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.00
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.18%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 58.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.08
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // COFPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $187.44
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>