ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CHKP // Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001015922 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$152.11 ▼ -1.39 (-0.91%)
MKT CAP: $15.53B • VOL: 2.49M
CHKP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 80/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
80 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +14.1% vs NI +25% • ROIC-WACC +11.8% • Z 5.62
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.10 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.10
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

Why did CHKP's Insider & Capital Conviction & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever CHKP is Upgraded or Downgraded.

CHKP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.11%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $153.5H $153.5L $152.1C $152.1VOL 2.49M
RES: $164.9SUP: $128.0SMA50: $138.8SMA200: $140.6
$184.6$165.0$145.4$125.8$106.3RES $164.9SUP $128.0$152.12026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
CHKP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 56/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) exhibits 86.7% gross margins and 20.8% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 18.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 86.7% gross profitability converts into 30.5% operating margin and 20.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 20.8% // GM: 86.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +6.3% paired with 7.48% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +6.3% // FCF YLD: 7.48%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.62 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.62 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 14.8x trailing P/E (13.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 14.8x // EV/EBITDA: 18.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $152.11 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend 38.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 38.8% // D/E: 0.72x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 13.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.38).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 14.8x
FORWARD P/E 13.8x
EV / EBITDA 18.7x
FCF YIELD 7.48%
GROSS MARGIN 86.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 30.5%
NET MARGIN 38.8%
ROIC % 20.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +6.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $10.35
DEBT / EQUITY 0.72x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.4
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.38
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CHKPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $139.19
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CHKP & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>