ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CFR // Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000039263 ↗
Financials • Major Banks
$160.30 ▲ +2.70 (+1.71%)
MKT CAP: $9.80B • VOL: 509.9K
CFR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 74% • VS 200D +5.7% • RSI 54
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.07 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.44
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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CFR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.08%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $157.9H $160.3L $157.6C $160.3VOL 522.4K
RES: $160.2SUP: $148.5SMA50: $157.4SMA200: $149.1
$173.5$162.3$151.0$139.8$128.6RES $160.2SUP $148.5$160.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
CFR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc. (CFR) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 3.4% return on invested capital within Financials (Major Banks), balanced against a 26.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 75.0% operating margin and 3.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.4% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +14.4% paired with 1.30% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +14.4% // FCF YLD: 1.30%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 15.1x trailing P/E (12.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 15.1x // EV/EBITDA: 26.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $160.30 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Banks require continuous execution to defend 68.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 68.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 12.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.93).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 15.1x
FORWARD P/E 12.7x
EV / EBITDA 26.0x
FCF YIELD 1.30%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 75.0%
NET MARGIN 68.0%
ROIC % 3.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +14.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $10.44
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.60%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.93
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CFRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $146.68
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CFR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>