ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CE // Celanese Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001306830 ↗
Materials • Major Chemicals
$49.30 ▲ +0.98 (+2.03%)
MKT CAP: $5.30B • VOL: 1.50M
CE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 44/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
44 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +51.2% vs NI +24.4% • ROIC-WACC -18.5% • Z 1.37
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 37% • VS 200D -6.4% • RSI 57.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.06 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.30
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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CE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.28%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $48.85H $49.30L $48.32C $49.30VOL 1.30M
RES: $49.50SUP: $42.78SMA50: $46.12SMA200: $51.61
$72.77$64.19$55.61$47.03$38.45RES $49.50SUP $42.78$49.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
CE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Celanese Corporation (CE) exhibits 20.5% gross margins and -10.7% return on invested capital within Materials (Major Chemicals), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 20.5% gross profitability converts into -8.2% operating margin and -10.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -10.7% // GM: 20.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -7.1% paired with 15.14% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -7.1% // FCF YLD: 15.14%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.37 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.37 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (29.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $49.30 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Chemicals require continuous execution to defend -12.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -12.2% // D/E: 1.08x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 29.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.16).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 29.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 15.14%
GROSS MARGIN 20.5%
OPERATING MARGIN -8.2%
NET MARGIN -12.2%
ROIC % -10.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -7.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-10.62
DEBT / EQUITY 1.08x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.25%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.16
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $45.11
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>