ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BILI // Bilibili Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001723690 ↗
Technology • EDP Services
$12.68 ▼ -0.19 (-1.48%)
MKT CAP: $5.36B • VOL: 2.58M
BILI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 53/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
53 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +24.8% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +1% • Z 2.13
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +17.7% • P/E 26.4x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.05 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.25
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did BILI's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever BILI is Upgraded or Downgraded.

BILI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.54%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $12.90H $12.90L $12.68C $12.68VOL 3.00M
RES: $14.41SUP: $12.57SMA50: $14.78SMA200: $20.53
$27.36$23.37$19.38$15.39$11.40RES $14.41SUP $12.57$12.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
BILI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 55/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) exhibits 36.6% gross margins and 10.9% return on invested capital within Technology (EDP Services), balanced against a 19.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 36.6% gross profitability converts into 3.7% operating margin and 10.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.9% // GM: 36.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +18.1% paired with 17.69% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +18.1% // FCF YLD: 17.69%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.13 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.13 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 31.4x trailing P/E (26.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 31.4x // EV/EBITDA: 19.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.68 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in EDP Services require continuous execution to defend 3.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.9% // D/E: 0.31x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 26.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.30).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 31.4x
FORWARD P/E 26.4x
EV / EBITDA 19.3x
FCF YIELD 17.69%
GROSS MARGIN 36.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 3.7%
NET MARGIN 3.9%
ROIC % 10.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +18.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.41
DEBT / EQUITY 0.31x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 29.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.30
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BILIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.60
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>